Seasonal Production Changes

How balcony solar output varies throughout the year and how to optimize for all seasons

⏱️ Read time: 6 Min
📊 Updated: 2025
✓ Verified: PVGIS Data

Understanding Seasonal Variation

Solar production varies significantly by season. Understanding these patterns helps you set realistic expectations and optimize your system's performance year-round.

Summer (Peak Season)

Production

150-200%

of annual average

Why: Longer days, higher sun angle, more direct sunlight

Winter (Low Season)

Production

40-60%

of annual average

Why: Shorter days, lower sun angle, more clouds

Monthly Production Example

Month Production (kWh) % of Annual Avg Notes
June ~75 kWh 180% Peak month
July ~72 kWh 170% Peak month
May ~65 kWh 155% High production
August ~65 kWh 155% High production
April ~50 kWh 120% Moderate
September ~45 kWh 110% Moderate
March ~35 kWh 85% Below average
October ~30 kWh 70% Below average
November ~20 kWh 50% Low
December ~18 kWh 45% Lowest
January ~20 kWh 50% Low
February ~25 kWh 60% Low

* Example: 800W system in Phoenix, AZ. Actual values vary by location.

Optimizing for All Seasons

Panel Angle

Adjustable mounts let you optimize angle seasonally. Steeper angle in winter, flatter in summer.

Keep Panels Clean

Snow, leaves, and dust reduce production. Regular cleaning is especially important in winter.

Monitor Production

Track monthly output to identify issues early. Sudden drops may indicate problems.

Size Appropriately

Size your system based on annual production, not peak summer output. Winter production is the limiting factor.

💡

Pro Tip

Don't worry about low winter production - summer excess compensates. Calculate your annual production with our free calculator to see your year-round potential.

Frequently Asked Questions

Q: Will my system produce enough in winter?

A: Winter production is lower, but grid-tied systems still work. You'll draw from the grid more in winter, but summer excess production (via net metering) compensates. The annual average is what matters for ROI.

Q: Should I adjust panel angle seasonally?

A: It helps, but isn't necessary. A fixed angle optimized for your latitude works well year-round. Adjustable mounts can increase production by 5-10%, but the added cost may not be worth it for small systems.

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